MARKET TRENDS

Gulf Producers Double Down on Energy Future

Major Gulf energy players expand oil and gas capacity, betting on long-term demand and strategic resilience

19 Feb 2026

Offshore oil platform illuminated at sunset over open sea

Major Gulf energy producers are pressing ahead with large oil and gas investments, even as global markets face concerns about potential oversupply.

Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar are advancing multi-year projects aimed at strengthening their production capacity and securing long-term customers. The strategy reflects a view that structural demand, particularly in Asia, will remain resilient despite short-term price swings and the energy transition.

Saudi Aramco’s Jafurah gas field is central to that approach. The multibillion-dollar unconventional gas project has begun its first phase of operations, with further expansion under way. Jafurah is intended to raise domestic gas output, reduce the use of crude oil in power generation and release additional barrels for export. The company has presented the development as a pillar of energy security and long-term production stability.

In the UAE, Abu Dhabi National Oil Company is expanding upstream capacity while signing extended supply agreements with buyers in Asia and Europe. Recent contract awards and stated capacity targets point to a multi-year growth plan rather than a short-term increase in volumes. Alongside production growth, ADNOC is investing in downstream assets and expanding its trading arm, moves designed to smooth revenue through price cycles and deepen commercial ties.

QatarEnergy is pursuing a similar course through its North Field expansion, a phased project that will lift liquefied natural gas output later this decade. Long-term LNG supply agreements with European and Asian buyers underpin the development, providing greater visibility over future revenues in a market often marked by volatility.

Analysts say sustained investment by low-cost Gulf producers could intensify pressure on higher-cost regions if global supply grows faster than demand. Much will depend on economic growth and the pace of energy transition policies.

For now, Gulf governments appear focused on reinforcing their competitive advantages and preserving flexibility. By pairing phased capacity increases with long-term contracts and integrated operations, they are seeking to secure a durable role in global energy markets over the coming decade.

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